Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
