Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.05) 
