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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

NAC Breda
4 - 1
MVV

Mar Omarsson (21', 45', 86'), van der Sande (43')
Besselink (33')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 NAC Breda
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawMVV Maastricht
62.43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 20.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 17.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 56.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.15% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.85% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 62.43%
    MVV Maastricht 17.34%
    Draw 20.22%
NAC BredaDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05%
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 NAC Breda
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 3-2 Dordrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 4-1 NAC Breda
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-0 De Graafschap
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Heerenveen
Tuesday, February 7 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-2 PEC Zwolle
Monday, February 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-2 MVV
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-2 Heracles
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 5-1 Oss
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 2-1 MVV
Sunday, February 5 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie


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