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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
5 - 4
Jong PSV

Lucca (16'), Godts (24'), Conceicao (34', 59'), Seelt (49' og.)
FT(HT: 3-2)
Saibari (41'), Colyn (45'), Leysen (54'), Babadi (90+3')
Seelt (79')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 2-3 Jong Ajax
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawJong PSV
45.32% (0.195 0.2) 22.93% (-0.248 -0.25) 31.75% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 63.95% (0.964 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.99% (1.248 1.25)37.01% (-1.243 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.81% (1.34 1.34)59.19% (-1.334 -1.33)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (0.569 0.57)16.79% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (0.998 1)46.75% (-0.992 -0.99)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.64 0.64)23.15% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.925 0.93)57.02% (-0.92 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 45.32%
    Jong PSV 31.75%
    Draw 22.92%
Jong AjaxDrawJong PSV
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.94% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.096 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.89% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Telstar 2-3 Jong Ajax
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-2 Almere City
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-6 Jong Ajax
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 5-1 Roda JC
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 2-1 De Graafschap
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong PSV
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 3-0 Jong PSV
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 NAC Breda
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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