SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Den Bosch |
49.41% ( 0.11) | 23.13% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.26% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( -0.16) | 40.61% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( -0.16) | 62.99% ( 0.16) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.02) | 16.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.52% ( -0.03) | 46.47% ( 0.04) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.17) | 27.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.22) | 63.26% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.45% |
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