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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 58.14%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Ajax |
58.14% ( 1.26) | 19.65% ( -0.41) | 22.21% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 67.17% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0.96) | 29.06% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.95% ( 1.17) | 50.05% ( -1.16) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% ( 0.61) | 10.07% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.81% ( 1.39) | 33.19% ( -1.39) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( -0.1) | 25.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( -0.13) | 60.08% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.75% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.65% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.21% |
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