SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
27.9% ( -0.07) | 23.19% ( 0.07) | 48.91% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.37) | 40.51% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.38) | 62.89% ( 0.38) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.23) | 27.34% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( -0.3) | 62.79% ( 0.31) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.14) | 16.78% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( -0.25) | 46.74% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.9% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.21% Total : 48.91% |
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