Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
0.04) 
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