Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	ADO Den Haag
33.66% ( 0.25)	23.69% ( -0.06)	42.65% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 61.93% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.02% (

0.35)

39.98% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.66% (

0.36)

62.34% (

-0.37)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

0.31)

23.48% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

0.45)

57.5% (

-0.45)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

0.06)

19.06% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33% (

0.1)

50.66% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 33.66%

ADO Den Haag 42.65%

Draw 23.69%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.66%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 42.65%