SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
57.47% ( 4.42) | 23.25% ( -1.41) | 19.28% ( -3.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( 2.11) | 49.71% ( -2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( 1.86) | 71.72% ( -1.86) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( 2.44) | 17.05% ( -2.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.78% ( 4.15) | 47.21% ( -4.15) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( -1.91) | 39.97% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( -1.8) | 76.63% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.74)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.54)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.88% Total : 57.46% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.92) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.6)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.28% |
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