SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
37.72% ( 0.06) | 25.62% ( 0.02) | 36.65% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.07) | 48.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.07) | 70.6% ( 0.06) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% | 59.88% ( -0) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.08) | 25.75% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( -0.1) | 60.69% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% |
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