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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
ML

Bradford
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Walker (38'), Pattison (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latte Lath (21'), Rogers (54')
Smith (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-4 Bradford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bradford City 0-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough progressed past League One opposition away from home to reach this stage of the competition, and they should have no trouble beating a mid-table League Two side. Having picked up a victory against Southampton in their last match, Carrick will be hoping his Boro side can now start to gather some momentum and kickstart their season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Bradford CityDrawMiddlesbrough
31.27% (-0.158 -0.16) 24.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 43.75% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (-0.284 -0.28)46.82% (0.284 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (-0.267 -0.27)69.07% (0.267 0.27)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.244 -0.24)28.23% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.307 -0.31)63.94% (0.308 0.31)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)21.42% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (-0.108 -0.11)54.43% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 31.27%
    Middlesbrough 43.75%
    Draw 24.98%
Bradford CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.27%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 43.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Bradford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 9 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Bradford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Bradford (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 QPR
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship


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