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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
ML

Blackburn
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Carrick having had some prolonged time on the training pitch, he will hope that Boro return to action with more confidence than they entered the international break. Nevertheless, Blackburn appear more capable of winning this fixture, albeit in what should prove to be a competitive game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
35.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)57.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 35.08%
    Middlesbrough 39.56%
    Draw 25.36%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Harrogate 0-8 Blackburn
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Watford 0-1 Blackburn
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Hull City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 4-3 Walsall
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 QPR
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 12 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in EFL Cup


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