Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Burnley
38.94% ( 0)	25.88% ( 0.01)	35.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.24% (

-0.06)

49.75% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

-0.05)

71.76% (

0.06)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-0.03)

25.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

-0.04)

59.78% (

0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

-0.04)

27.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

-0.05)

62.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Everton 38.94%

Burnley 35.18%

Draw 25.87%

Everton	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.18%