Burnley defeated Nottingham Forest away from home to reach this stage of the competition, and they ply their trade three divisions higher than Salford City.
Given the fact that Salford have also been in very poor form, the Clarets should be able to pick up a fairly comfortable victory on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
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