As injuries continue to decimate an out-of-sorts Port Vale squad, Crosby's side - whose run to the last 16 must still be applauded - may very well be on the wrong end of another EFL Cup upset this week.
Mansfield are hardly in tip-top shape when it comes to squad fitness either, but the Stags are showing no sign of slowing down anytime soon and can avenge last year's Wembley beating to enter the quarter-final draw for the first time ever.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.08) 
