Charlton Athletic are the more in-form side coming into this one, but Plymouth's recent record on home turf is simply too good to overlook. We anticipate a fairly even contest with the home team narrowly emerging victorious in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
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