SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Twente |
62.44% ( 0.2) | 19.41% ( -0.1) | 18.15% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.84% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.29) | 34.16% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.33) | 56.04% ( -0.33) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.48% ( 0.13) | 10.53% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.78% ( 0.3) | 34.22% ( -0.3) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( 0.07) | 32.01% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.53% ( 0.08) | 68.47% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.14% Total : 62.44% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 18.15% |
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