SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
70.04% ( 1.04) | 16.95% ( -0.39) | 13% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.3) | 33.05% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.21% ( 0.35) | 54.79% ( -0.35) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( 0.3) | 8.45% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.66% ( 0.75) | 29.33% ( -0.75) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.73) | 37.63% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% ( -0.72) | 74.41% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.05% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.95% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 13% |
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