SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sevilla |
61.74% ( 0.18) | 20.19% ( -0.04) | 18.07% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.04) | 38.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0.04) | 60.32% ( 0.04) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( 0.04) | 11.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.83% ( 0.08) | 37.17% ( -0.08) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0.17) | 34.45% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( -0.18) | 71.16% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.12% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 18.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
