With only fellow relegation adversaries Volendam possessing a worse defensive record across the current Eredivisie campaign, we predict that Waalwijk will add further to Excelsior's growing tally and subsequent relegation fears on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.