SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Olympiacos |
39.23% ( 0.04) | 23.97% ( -0) | 36.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.57% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.27% ( 0.02) | 40.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.89% ( 0.02) | 63.11% ( -0.02) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( 0.03) | 20.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( 0.05) | 53.67% ( -0.05) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0.01) | 22.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( -0.01) | 55.51% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.81% |
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