Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
