Neither side has felt the winning feeling much in recent weeks, and they may cancel each other out in what could be a cagey first leg.
Basel have done well at staying in ties in this competition, and they may have to do so again with Nice the slight favourites.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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