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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Huseyin Avni Aker
B

Trabzonspor
1 - 0
Basel

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Trabzonspor
Sunday, February 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Basel 3-1 Sion
Saturday, February 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Trabzonspor 0-1 Basel

Despite both sides struggling in their respective domestic leagues, we predict that Basel will edge out Trabzonspor in a closely-contested clash at the Senol Gunes Sports Complex and subsequently take a slender lead into the second leg at St. Jakob-Park in a week's time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Basel had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Basel win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match.

Result
TrabzonsporDrawBasel
54.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.21% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.56% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.052 -0.05)45.52% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)67.85% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)16.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)34.29% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (-0.061 -0.06)70.99% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Trabzonspor 54.21%
    Basel 22.56%
    Draw 23.21%
TrabzonsporDrawBasel
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 22.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Trabzonspor
Sunday, February 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-0 Istanbulspor
Sunday, January 22 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 5-0 Trabzonspor
Monday, January 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Basel 3-1 Sion
Saturday, February 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Grasshopper 1-0 Basel
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 2-3 Luzern
Saturday, January 28 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Basel
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Grasshopper 1-0 Basel
Saturday, November 12 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 0-2 Basel
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League


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