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Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
FL

Brugge
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Vanaken (20')
Ordonez (43'), Thiago (52'), Vetlesen (62'), Odoi (72'), Mechele (83'), Vanaken (90+6')
Odoi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beltran (85' pen.)
Milenkovic (88'), Beltran (90'), Dodo (90+4'), Italiano (90+7'), N'Zola (90+6')
Odoi (1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Brugge
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawFiorentina
45.65% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 29.07% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (0.037000000000006 0.04)49.11% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (0.032999999999998 0.03)71.18% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43%54.57%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)30.91% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.056000000000004 0.06)67.2% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 45.64%
    Fiorentina 29.08%
    Draw 25.27%
Club BruggeDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Brugge
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Brugge
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Genk 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 4-0 Genk
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 1-2 Brugge
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: PAOK 0-2 Brugge
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Brugge
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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