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Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
ML

Brugge
3 - 0
Molde

Skov Olsen (45+1', 48'), Skoras (70')
De Cuyper (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Leuven
Sunday, March 10 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 2-1 Brugge
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Club Brugge 2-0 Molde (Club Brugge win 3-2 on aggregate)

Molde battled hard to gain the edge in their home leg last week, and Club Brugge are certainly wounded by several injuries in important places, but the hosts still possess plenty of quality, and we can only envisage them being too strong for the Norwegian outfit on Thursday and overturning the tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Molde had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Molde win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawMolde
65.64% (0.032000000000011 0.03) 18.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.34% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16% (0.058000000000007 0.06)33.84% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)55.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34% (0.021999999999991 0.02)9.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)32.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)71.02% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 65.64%
    Molde 15.9%
    Draw 18.46%
Club BruggeDrawMolde
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 65.64%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.46%
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 15.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Leuven
Sunday, March 10 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 2-1 Brugge
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Genk 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-1 Brugge
Sunday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 4-0 Eupen
Saturday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 2-1 Brugge
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 0-3 Molde
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Molde 3-2 Legia
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 1-1 HamKam
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 2-2 Qarabag
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League


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