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Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
CB

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Brugge

Sottil (5'), Belotti (37'), N'Zola (90+1')
Gonzalez (36'), Martinez (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vanaken (17' pen.), Thiago (63')
Onyedika (58'), Jackers (84')
Onyedika (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genk 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawClub Brugge
48.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.25%27.06%
Both teams to score 56.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06%45.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75%68.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.46%
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 48.7%
    Club Brugge 27.06%
    Draw 24.25%
FiorentinaDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.06%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa
Monday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Plzen 0-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 11 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Genk 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 4-0 Genk
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 1-2 Brugge
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: PAOK 0-2 Brugge
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Antwerp
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-0 PAOK
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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