SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 3-1 (5.67%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Qarabag FK |
46.37% ( 0.26) | 21.99% ( 0.05) | 31.64% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 67.49% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.39) | 32.36% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.46) | 53.98% ( 0.47) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( -0.06) | 14.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.27% ( -0.12) | 42.73% ( 0.12) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.35) | 20.96% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -0.56) | 53.71% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.64% |
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