SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 50.2% | 22.71% ( -0) | 27.09% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% ( 0.01) | 38.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% ( 0.01) | 61.19% ( -0) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( 0) | 15.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% ( 0) | 44.79% ( -0) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0) | 27.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.01) | 62.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3% Total : 27.09% |
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