While Zrinjski have been riding a crest of a wave for a number of weeks, this may be a step up too far. LASK will recognise that they may not have it all their own way, yet they will expect to established a lead ahead of the reverse fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.
