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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Kopavogsvollur

Breidablik
1 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar

Jakovljevic (55' og.)
Sigurjonsson (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barisic (45'), Canadija (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Breidablik 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar (Zrinjski Mostar to win 8-4 on aggregate)

Facing a four-goal deficit, Breidablik have little choice but to go on the offensive from the off in this game. However, that will only provide the visitors with extra space to put the tie out of their hosts' reach, and we expect Zrinjski to cruise over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
BreidablikDrawZrinjski Mostar
32.05% (-1.714 -1.71) 25.84% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 42.1% (1.618 1.62)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.85100000000001 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (-0.861 -0.86)50.26% (0.863 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.769 -0.77)72.21% (0.771 0.77)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-1.524 -1.52)29.43% (1.527 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-1.906 -1.91)65.43% (1.907 1.91)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.434 0.43)23.68% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.622 0.62)57.8% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 32.05%
    Zrinjski Mostar 42.1%
    Draw 25.84%
BreidablikDrawZrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.459 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.425 0.43)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Copenhagen 6-3 Breidablik
Wednesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Breidablik 0-2 Copenhagen
Tuesday, July 25 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Buducnost 0-5 Breidablik
Friday, June 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 6-2 Breidablik
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, July 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Urartu 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 11 at 4pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League


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