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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
53.16% ( 0.08) | 20.81% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 67.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.01) | 30.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.17% ( 0.01) | 51.82% ( -0.01) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.14% ( 0.02) | 11.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.12% ( -0.05) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.04) | 23.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.05) | 57.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.16% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.81% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.02% |
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