Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Breidablik
Given the nerves that will be on show for this fixture, we expect a tense first leg. Zrinjski are in the better form when taking everything into consideration, yet we feel that the visitors will do enough to earn a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.
| Result |
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Breidablik |
56.98% ( -0.05) | 21.76% ( 0.02) | 21.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( -0.02) |
| 59.44% ( -0.05) | 40.56% ( 0.05) |
| 37.06% ( -0.06) | 62.94% ( 0.06) |
| 85.94% ( -0.03) | 14.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.36% ( -0.07) | 41.64% ( 0.07) |
| 67.3% ( -0) | 32.7% ( 0) |
