Malmo will fancy their chances of picking up the desired results on Thursday as they go up against a floundering Sivasspor side who are yet to taste victory this season. We are backing the Swedish side to pick up a vital first-leg win in front of their home fans and edge closer to a place in the group stages.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.11) 
