Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.