Although Freiburg may be the marginal favourites on paper, there is little doubting that they would accept a share of the spoils from this contest. We expect Olympiacos to make most of the running, but the visitors may have enough quality at both ends to claim a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
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