Given that Ljubljana must throw everything at Qarabag on Thursday, we can see the visitors causing plenty of problems in Baku, but the hosts will likely advance thanks to their efforts in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
62.75% ( 0.01)	20.91% ( -0)	16.33% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

44.49% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

66.86% (

-0.01)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

13.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33% (

0.01)

40.67% (

-0.01)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63% (

-0)

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01% (

-0)

76.98% (

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 62.74%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 16.33%

Draw 20.91%

Qarabag FK	Draw	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 62.74%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.91%	0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.33%