SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Fenerbahce win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fenerbahce |
57.98% ( -0.15) | 21.12% ( 0.05) | 20.9% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.92% ( -0.11) | 38.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.65% ( -0.12) | 60.35% ( 0.12) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.08) | 12.94% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.6% ( -0.16) | 39.4% ( 0.16) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.03) | 31.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( 0.03) | 68.04% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 57.98% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.9% |
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