SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
37.34% ( -0.46) | 24.57% ( -0.45) | 38.08% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( 2.14) | 43.62% ( -2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( 2.06) | 66.01% ( -2.06) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.72) | 23.16% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 1.05) | 57.03% ( -1.05) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( 1.44) | 22.78% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% ( 2.09) | 56.47% ( -2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.51)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.08% |
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