SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Panetolikos |
73.09% ( -0.63) | 17.7% ( 0.39) | 9.21% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.95) | 47.47% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.89) | 69.68% ( 0.88) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.49% ( -0.43) | 11.51% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.6% ( -0.94) | 36.4% ( 0.94) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46% ( -0.09) | 54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.73% ( -0.06) | 87.27% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Panetolikos |
| 2-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 73.07% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 17.7% | 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.64% Total : 9.21% |
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