Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Panathinaikos
45.54% ( 0.03)	28.32% ( -0.02)	26.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.51% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.04% (

0.04)

61.96% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.29% (

0.03)

81.7% (

-0.03)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

0.04)

27.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

0.05)

62.66% (

-0.05)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.8% (

0.01)

40.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16% (

0.01)

76.83% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 45.54%

Panathinaikos 26.13%

Draw 28.31%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 14.24% 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 45.54%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.13%