SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Paraguay |
52.76% ( 0.12) | 26.27% ( 0) | 20.97% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.06% ( -0.12) | 58.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% ( -0.1) | 79.42% ( 0.1) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0) | 22.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -0) | 56.04% ( 0) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.52% ( -0.2) | 43.48% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( -0.17) | 79.69% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.97% |
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