SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Sweden |
55.73% ( -0.01) | 23.83% ( 0.01) | 20.43% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( -0.02) | 50.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.02) | 72.49% ( 0.02) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.01) | 17.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% ( -0.02) | 48.85% ( 0.02) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.01) | 39.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.01) | 75.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Sweden |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.73% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.43% |
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