J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-3 Urawa Red Diamonds
Cerezo recorded a decent victory in the cup on Wednesday, but the visit of Urawa to Yodoko Sakura Stadium will be a much harder assignment for the hosts.
The Red Diamonds look set to continue their assault on the J League's top three, and we believe they will make it 15 games unbeaten in all competitions on Sunday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
30.25% ( 0.01) | 28.7% ( -0) | 41.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( 0.01) |
| 38.45% ( 0.01) | 61.55% ( -0.01) |
| 18.6% ( 0.01) | 81.4% ( -0.01) |
| 63.41% ( 0.01) | 36.59% ( -0.01) |
