J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 at 8am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
36.12% ( -0.21) | 28.61% ( 0.42) | 35.26% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -1.23) |
| 39.52% ( -1.5) | 60.48% ( 1.5) |
| 19.4% ( -1.15) | 80.6% ( 1.14) |
| 68.08% ( -0.9) | 31.91% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.63% ( -1.04) | 68.36% ( 1.03) |
| 67.53% ( -0.91) | 32.47% ( 0.9) |
