J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hiraga (79')
Toyokawa (9'), Sato (56'), Hirato (63')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
42.94% ( -0.57) | 25.96% ( -0.02) | 31.1% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.32) |
| 48.93% ( 0.29) | 51.06% ( -0.3) |
| 27.08% ( 0.25) | 72.92% ( -0.26) |
| 76.37% ( -0.15) | 23.62% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.29% ( -0.22) | 57.71% ( 0.22) |
| 69.52% ( 0.56) | 30.47% ( -0.56) |
