J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 21, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
FT(HT: 1-2)
Na (14'), Oh (25')
Fujimoto (22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Machida Zelvia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Machida Zelvia |
30.88% ( -1.38) | 26.39% ( 0.42) | 42.73% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( -1.87) |
| 47.08% ( -2.16) | 52.92% ( 2.16) |
| 25.47% ( -1.87) | 74.52% ( 1.87) |
| 68.42% ( -2.03) | 31.58% ( 2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.02% ( -2.41) | 67.97% ( 2.41) |
| 75.45% ( -0.47) | 24.55% ( 0.47) |
