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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
2 - 0
Reysol

Oh (9'), Araki (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yamada (42'), Grot (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 27.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
27.96% (-0.587 -0.59) 28.04% (0.366 0.37) 43.99% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-1.33 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (-1.52 -1.52)60.18% (1.52 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.62% (-1.169 -1.17)80.38% (1.17 1.17)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (-1.306 -1.31)37.65% (1.307 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (-1.299 -1.3)74.43% (1.3 1.3)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.59299999999999 -0.59)27.21% (0.596 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.78 -0.78)62.63% (0.781 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 27.95%
    Kashiwa Reysol 43.99%
    Draw 28.03%
Machida ZelviaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10% (0.208 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.95%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.24% (0.565 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 13.33% (0.53 0.53)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 43.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Urawa
Friday, April 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Reysol
Sunday, April 7 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League


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