SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Cork City win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
30.91% ( -0.31) | 26.92% ( 0.29) | 42.17% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( -1.23) | 54.99% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( -1.03) | 76.26% ( 1.03) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -0.85) | 32.62% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( -0.96) | 69.16% ( 0.96) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.55) | 25.77% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( -0.75) | 60.71% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.91% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.16% |
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